Ron's Blog

  • Is Another Bubble Forming?

    Is Another Bubble Forming?

    Is Another Bubble Forming? | Simplifying The Market

    After the housing market bust we experienced across the country in 2008, many experts have been quick to warn that a new bubble may be forming in some areas.

    One particular example of this is a recent article pointing toward the California Bay Area’s price gains over the last 18 months.

    The quickest and easiest way to show how far we’ve come and how far we still need to go in regards to the ‘Peak’ is to share CoreLogic’s Price & Time Since Peak figures, used to create the map below.

    CoreLogic Price & Time Since Peak | Simplifying The Market

    Even with the high performance of prices in the Bay Area, the state of California as a whole is still -14.4% below their Peak, experienced in May of 2006.

    The biggest challenge facing the housing market’s recovery right now is the lack of inventoryavailable for sale. Prices are determined by supply and demand. Right now buyer demand is out-pacing seller supply, across many price ranges, driving prices up.

    Bottom Line

    Traditionally the Spring months have been the most popular dates sellers choose to list their homes. With additional inventory coming to market soon, meet with a professional in your local market to evaluate your best course of action.

  • Homeownership is the “American Dream” for a Reason

    Homeownership is the “American Dream” for a Reason

    Homeownership is the “American Dream” for a Reason | Simplifying The Market

    There have been some who have voiced doubt as to whether or not the younger generations still consider buying a home as being part of the “American Dream”. A recent study by Merrill Lynch puts that doubt to rest. According to their research, every living generation still maintains that owning a home is in fact important. Here are the numbers:

    American Dream STM

    This should not surprise us as many studies have revealed the benefits enjoyed by the families who own their own home. One such study was done by the Joint Center of Housing Studies at Harvard University that addressed a major financial benefit to owning your own home: forced savings. The report explains:

    “Since many people have trouble saving and have to make a housing payment one way or the other, owning a home can overcome people’s tendency to defer savings to another day.”

    The Merrill Lynch study proves this point with the following data on home equity (a form of savings):

    Home Equity

    Bottom Line

    There are many reasons that owning a home makes sense. The financial reasons are powerful. As one participant in the Merrill Lynch study put it:

    “When I was younger, I always worried about that monthly mortgage payment. Now that I am retired, I have the peace of mind of knowing I own my home free and clear.”

  • Is the Housing Market Back? Ask Lowes & Home Depot!

    Is the Housing Market Back? Ask Lowes & Home Depot!

    Is the Housing Market Back? Ask Lowes & Home Depot! | Simplifying The Market

    A recent Bloomberg Business article reports that both Lowes & Home Depot experienced fourth quarter profits that beat revenue projections by the most in six quarters. So what does that mean to the housing market?

    Consumer Confidence

    Lowe’s Chief Executive Officer Robert Niblock said,

    “Consumers are feeling better about their jobs, their wages and certainly feeling better about the value of their home, they are re-engaging in projects that they have put off.”

    Sales to professional contractors have increased significantly as well, and were a driving factor in the quarter. Home Depot’s Chief Financial Officer Carol Tome calls this a “sign of health. If they are putting more items in their basket, it means they have work coming at them.”

    Home Values Rising

    In a quarterly consumer survey conducted by Lowe’s since 2007, the percentage of respondents who said that the value of their home is rising increased to its highest value ever, at 50%.

    Whether Americans are finally adding that man-cave they’ve always wanted, or renovating a master suite, an increased confidence in the value of one’s home often sparks homeowners to invest in big-ticket projects.

    The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports that the median price of an existing home (for all housing types) rose year-over-year for the 35th consecutive month.

    Not all who are renovating are planning on staying in their home. The Demand Institute reports that “nearly half of American households plan to move at some point in the future.”

    For those who are planning on listing their home this spring, spending the time and money needed to update that 1950’s bathroom or kitchen can fetch higher prices in today’s market.

    Bottom Line

    Meeting with a local real estate professional can give you insight into the small (or big) improvements your home could use to draw the highest price and return on investment this spring.

  • Hurry Up!! Call your Agent and List your House!!

    Hurry Up!! Call your Agent and List your House!!

    Hurry Up!! Call your Agent & List your House!! | Simplifying The Market

    That headline might be a little aggressive. However, as the data on the 2015 housing market begins to roll in, we can definitely say one thing: If you are considering selling, IT IS TIME TO LIST YOUR HOME!

    We realize that existing home sales stumbled in January compared to December. But, if we compare the current September-January time period to the same period a year ago, we can see that existing home sales have outpaced last year every month with the January sales numbers 200,000 homes greater than last January:

    Existing Home Sales | Simplifying The Market

    Pending home sales (houses going into a contract) as reported by the National Association of Realtors has also done much better in the last five months compared to a year earlier:

    Pending Home Sales | Simplifying The Market

    And, buyer demand is continuing to skyrocket:

    Buyer Activity | Simplifying The Market

    At the same time, the amount of housing inventory coming to the market compared to last year is plummeting:

    Inventory Levels | Simplifying The Market

    Bottom Line

    With demand increasing and supply dropping, this may be the perfect time to get the best price for your home. Call in a local real estate professional today to see whether that is the case in your neighborhood.

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