Ron's Blog

  • More Home Buyers Putting Less Down

    More Home Buyers Putting Less Down

    More Home Buyers Putting Less Down | Keeping Current Matters

    recent post by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) revealed that in the months of December 2014 through February 2015, there was an increase in the number of first-time buyers making a down payment of 6% or less as compared to last year:

    • 2014: 61% of first time home buyers
    • 2015: 66% of first time home buyers

    While the number of small down payments is lower than it was in 2009 when 77% of down payments were 6% or less, it does show the recent decisions by both Fannie Maeand Freddie Mac to offer 3% down payment options to certain buyers is impacting the market. FHFA Director Mel Watt recently explained why Freddie and Fannie made this decision:

    “The new lending guidelines by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will enable creditworthy borrowers who can afford a mortgage, but lack the resources to pay a substantial down payment plus closing costs, to get a mortgage with 3% down. These underwriting guidelines provide a responsible approach to improving access to credit while ensuring safe and sound lending practices.”

    This is great news to millions of purchasers that have been denied the opportunity to own their own home because of the almost impossible burden of saving for a 20% down payment.

    Will these programs create future challenges?

    Certain pundits fear that low down payment programs will create a wave of foreclosures down the road. Mr. Watt also addressed this concern:

    “To mitigate risk, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will use their automated underwriting systems, which include compensating factors to evaluate a borrower’s creditworthiness. In addition, the new offerings will also include homeownership counseling, which improves borrower performance. FHFA will monitor the ongoing performance of these loans.” 

    Also, the Urban Institute revealed data showing what impact substantially lower down payments would have on default rates in today’s mortgage environment. Their studyrevealed:

    “Those who have criticized low-down payment lending as excessively risky should know that if the past is a guide, only a narrow group of borrowers will receive these loans, and the overall impact on default rates is likely to be negligible. This low down payment lending was never more than 3.5 percent of the Fannie Mae book of business, and in recent years, had been even less. If executed carefully, this constitutes a small step forward in opening the credit box—one that safely, but only incrementally, expands the pool of who can qualify for a mortgage.”

    Here are the direct links to the guidelines for each program:

    Fannie Mae 3% Down Program

    Freddie Mac 3% Down Program

    Remember, as with any new program, there will be some confusion. Contact your mortgage professional for a deeper understanding.

  • You Want to Raise My Rent How Much?

    You Want to Raise My Rent How Much?

     May 13, 2015

    You Want to Raise My Rent How Much? | Keeping Current Matters

    We recently reported that investment purchases in 2014 fell 7.4% for the year, that combined with a diminished supply of distressed inventory allowing for big profits, has real estate investors looking for a new way to make more money in 2015.

    So if they don’t have new properties to buy… how would they make more money? Easy… they are going to raise your rent!

    A recent article from Bloomberg Business gave insight into exactly what the CEO’s of major investment firms are thinking.

    “We are focusing aggressively on rent bumps,” American Residential Properties CEO Stephen Schmitz said during a panel discussion. “There’s a supply imbalance in some markets. The same thing that keeps occupancy high also drives rents.”

    How Much Are They Going To Raise Your Rent?

    Rental rates are predicted to increase 4% on renewals and as much as 5.7% for new tenants.

    Haendel St. Juste, a Morgan Stanley analyst put it this way:

    “The focus is now on optimizing revenue, compared to getting heads in beds,”

    So What Can You Do?

    If you are one of the millions of renters out there dreading the day that you have to renew your lease, or planning to move into a new rental property, now may be the time to sit with a real estate professional and evaluate your ability to lock in your housing cost, by buying now.

  • Homeownership Still a Great Investment

    Homeownership Still a Great Investment

    Homeownership Still a Great Investment | Simplifying The Market

    Four recent news articles confirmed that most Americans still see real estate as a great long term investment. The Gallup organization polled the American people and discovered that they believe that real estate is a better long term investment than stocks/mutual funds, gold, savings or bonds:

    Americans: Real Estate is Best Long-Term Investment | Simplifying The Market

    A second survey was done by Edelman Berland which showed that:

    Homeownership Important to Long-Term Planning | Simplifying The Market

    At the same time, Tim Rood, chairman of the business advisory firm The Collingwood Groupexplained that real estate is:

    “…one of the last legitimate wealth creation opportunities…The leveraged return if you put down 10 percent on a house, the trajectory of appreciation lately is you’re going to get your money back inside of a year and then after that 5 to 10 percent appreciation rates. It's phenomenal."

    Bottom Line

    Real estate continues to be a sensational long term investment. If you need help with any of your real estate needs, let’s get together and discuss the opportunities available in today’s market.

  • Does Homeownership Make Sense Financially?

    Does Homeownership Make Sense Financially?

    Does Homeownership Make Sense Financially? | Simplifying The Market

    Everyone knows the social advantages of home ownership. However, some question the financial benefits of owning a home. Three recent studies shed some light on the issue.

    RealtyTrac recently released a report comparing home price appreciation to wage growth over the last two years. The study revealed that home price appreciation has outpaced wage growth in 76% of U.S. housing markets during that time period. By how much? Here is a graph showing their findings:

    Prices vs Wages | Simplifying The Market

    And we all know the importance of home appreciation in determining the net wealth of most American families. Merrill Lynch just issued a report covering the issue. Their findings are shown here:

    Home Equity | Simplifying The Market

    It obviously makes financial sense to be a homeowner.

    But, does it make sense to buy now?

    The survey company Pulsenomics just issued their findings on the cost of owning versus the cost of renting. They compared historical averages to the cost you can expect to pay today.

    Buy vs Rent | Simplifying The Market

    The cost of buying is far below historical averages. Renting is another story.

  • Is Getting a Mortgage Getting Easier?

    Is Getting a Mortgage Getting Easier?

    Is Getting a Mortgage Getting Easier? | Simplifying The Market

    There has been a lot of discussion about how difficult it is to get a home mortgage in this market. There is no doubt that the process is not as easy as it was eight to ten years ago and that’s probably good news. However, it does appear that availability to mortgage money is increasing with each passing day.

    The Mortgage Bankers’ Association publishes the Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI). According to their site the index is “a summary measure which indicates the availability of mortgage credit at a point in time”. As we can see from the graph below, mortgage availability has been increasing dramatically over the last six months.

    Mortgage Availability | Simplifying The Market

    Accompanying the latest index was this comment from Mike Fratantoni, MBA's Chief Economist:

    "A number of factors contributed to a loosening of credit in March: Freddie Mac's introduction of their 97 LTV program (Fannie Mae's was implemented in December) [and the] additional loosening of parameters on jumbo loan programs… Although credit remains tight by historical standards, this increase in availability, coupled with low rates and job market strength, should lead to stronger home purchase activity this spring."

    Bottom Line

    If you have remained on the sidelines regarding homeownership because you were concerned about your ability to qualify for a mortgage, it may be time to get into the game.

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